Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Ben Shelton		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.22	4.1	Watch
	1.19	4.5	Watch
	1.26	4.32
	1.24	3.97	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	4.29 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
77.8%

Mackenzie McDonald
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Shelton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - McDonald (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 50%). McDonald (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. McDonald is ranked ATP: 95.

Shelton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

McDonald's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shelton is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	3:0 ✺
07.07.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ben Shelton - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Ben Shelton - Rinky Hijikata	3:0 ✺
01.07.25	Ben Shelton - Alex Bolt	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	George Loffhagen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Ben Shelton	0:2

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