Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Ben Shelton		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.79
	1.44	2.70	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	2.75 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
65.4%

Francis Tiafoe
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 11.

Shelton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tiafoe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Ben Shelton - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Ben Shelton - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	3:0 ✺
07.07.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ben Shelton - Marton Fucsovics	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.25	Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
30.08.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:3
ATP Houston
07.04.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP US Open
05.09.23	Francis Tiafoe - Ben Shelton	1:3

Upcoming Matches