Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dallas (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV6


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Brandon Holt

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.45	2.9
	1.42	2.85
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	2.91 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
67.3%

Brandon Holt
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's form might have worsened.

Brandon Holt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Holt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Holt than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brandon Holt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Brandon Holt Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Holt will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 59. Holt is ranked ATP: 181.

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holt is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Davidovich Fokina is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
16.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
15.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:2 ✺
13.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWW?L
- Brandon Holt
ATP Dallas
02.02.25	Ryan Seggerman - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Brandon Holt - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.25	Tyler Zink - Brandon Holt	Zink T. walkover ✺
27.01.25	Kalin Ivanovski - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Vit Kopriva - Brandon Holt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WW?WW

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