Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Jakub Mensik		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.6	2.3	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.57
			Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.38)	2.48 ↓ (2.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
61.3%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 28.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mensik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Jakub Mensik - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Jakub Mensik - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Henrique Rocha - Jakub Mensik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	James Duckworth - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP London
17.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:1 ✺
26.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Mensik J. retired
ATP Doha
20.02.24	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0

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