Match Info

Date: 7 October 2021, Thursday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Steve Johnson

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.21
	1.68	2.33
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
57.4%

Steve Johnson
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Steve Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steve Johnson than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.6%	0%	31.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Steve Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). Johnson will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Johnson won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Sofia
27.09.21	Benoit Paire - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
23.09.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
21.09.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Gilles Simon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWL?
- Steve Johnson
ATP San Diego
25.09.21	Steve Johnson - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.21	Gael Monfils - Steve Johnson	3:1 ✺
31.08.21	Steve Johnson - Maximilian Marterer	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.21	Steve Johnson - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.21	Kevin Anderson - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cologne 2
21.10.20	Steve Johnson - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2

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