Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Abedallah Shelbayh

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.71	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.71	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
55.2%

Abedallah Shelbayh
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Abedallah Shelbayh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Abedallah Shelbayh Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Shelbayh will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moro Canas: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 167. Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 249.

Recent matches Moro Canas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shelbayh is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moro Canas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moro Canas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Carlos Sanchez Jover	1:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.24	Aslan Karatsev - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Egor Gerasimov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW
- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
22.11.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Abedallah Shelbayh	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
11.11.24	Loann Massard - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
05.11.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Jerome Kym	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LW?LL

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