Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.52	1.53	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.51	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)	1.49 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
36.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 735. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 157.

Recent matches Budkov Kjaer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moro Canas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Budkov Kjaer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Moro Canas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ITF Tournaments
04.10.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Kimmer Coppejans - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Michele Ribecai	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Artem Dubrivnyy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Egor Gerasimov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL

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