Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza, clay - Final

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	1.78	1.92
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.93	1.85
	1.8	1.84	Watch
	1.9	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
49.8%

Alexander Ritschard
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 230., and Ritschard is ranked ATP: 559..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Ritschard could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ritschard in today's match, at odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Moro Canas has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Ritschard - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Sander Jong	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pedro Vives Marcos	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Bruno Pujol Navarro	Pujol Navarro B. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - David Naharro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?WL
- Alexander Ritschard
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Ryan Nijboer - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Alexander Ritschard - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Alexander Ritschard - Juan-Samuel Arauzo-Martinez	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Alexander Ritschard - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Alexander Ritschard - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.11.19	Alexander Ritschard - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1

Upcoming Matches