Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Final

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Carlo Alberto Caniato		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.06	1.78
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.58)	1.75 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlo Alberto Caniato
46.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlo Alberto Caniato's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlo Alberto Caniato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caniato will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Caniato is ranked ATP: 534., and Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 240..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Caniato may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Moro Canas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Moro Canas in today's match, at odds of 1.54.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.18%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlo Alberto Caniato
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Mika Brunold - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Carlo Alberto Caniato	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Pierre Delage	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pavel Lagutin	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

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