Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3	1.36
	2.95	1.35
	3.12	1.39
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	3.16	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.51)	1.37 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
31.2%

Lukas Neumayer
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Moro Canas's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 188.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neumayer is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moro Canas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Tom Gentzsch - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Zsombor Piros - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.22	Lukas Neumayer - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2

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