Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.43	1.61
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.9)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
37.9%

Nishesh Basavareddy
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Nishesh Basavareddy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nishesh Basavareddy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Basavareddy will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basavareddy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 240. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 177.

Recent performances by Moro Canas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basavareddy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Basavareddy is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Basavareddy will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Tom Gentzsch - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Maxim Mrva - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLWW
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Marko Topo - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
26.04.26	Jack Kennedy - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Andres Andrade - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WWWW

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