Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Lukas Neumayer		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.14	1.8
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.25)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.3%

Roman Safiullin
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Lukas Neumayer - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Safiullin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 195. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 176.

Neumayer is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Safiullin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Safiullin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Safiullin will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Jack Kennedy - Lukas Neumayer	Neumayer L. Retired ✺
05.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWW?W
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Cezar Cretu	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Valentin Royer - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

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