Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.74	1.98
	1.81	2.05
	1.72	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.78	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2)	2.03 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
53.7%

Stefano Napolitano
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Napolitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Napolitano will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napolitano: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 242. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 246.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nishesh Basavareddy	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Tom Gentzsch - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Maxim Mrva - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Jakub Paul - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Stefano Napolitano	Canceled ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Luka Pavlovic - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 L?LWW

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