Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Vilius Gaubas		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.36	3.00
	1.40	2.80
	1.30	3.40
	1.41	2.97
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.39	2.89	Watch
	1.38	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.16)	2.99 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
68.5%

Marco Cecchinato
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.7%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilius Gaubas's form might have worsened.

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.

Vilius Gaubas - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 120. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 166.

In recent matches, Gaubas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cecchinato is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gaubas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaubas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Vilius Gaubas - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Nicolas Kicker - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Marco Cecchinato - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	1:2
08.07.24	Marco Cecchinato - Vilius Gaubas	0:2

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