Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Gauthier Onclin		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.44
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)	2.33 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
60.1%

Alejandro Moro Canas
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gauthier Onclin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gauthier Onclin - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 169. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 240.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Onclin might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - James McCabe	Canceled ✺
13.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
25.07.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LW?L
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Felix Balshaw - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

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