Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Orlando Luz

	1	2
			Watch
	1.12	5.97
	1.18	4.56	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.84)	4.13 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
74.9%

Orlando Luz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Orlando Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orlando Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas - Orlando Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 266. Luz is ranked ATP: 658.

Moro Canas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Alejandro Moro Canas	Canceled ✺
30.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WL?LW
- Orlando Luz
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez	Marmousez L. retired ✺
14.09.25	Orlando Luz - Tadeas Paroulek	Luz O. retired ✺
07.09.25	Niklas Schell - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
08.07.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Orlando Luz - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ??LLW

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