Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Gilles Arnaud Bailly

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.8	2.09
	1.77	2.00	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
51.5%

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 300. Bailly is ranked ATP: 341.

Now, both players are in good form.

Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Olle Wallin - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Ryan Nijboer - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Benito Sanchez Martinez	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

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