Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife 2 (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.47	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.56 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
63.6%

Pol Martin Tiffon
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Moro Canas's performance.

Pol Martin Tiffon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pol Martin Tiffon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Moro Canas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pol Martin Tiffon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Martin Tiffon will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 164. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 252.

Moro Canas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Martin Tiffon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martin Tiffon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moro Canas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moro Canas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
06.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
08.02.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Johannus Monday - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Zsombor Piros - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.01.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2
ITF Tournaments
22.05.22	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1

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