Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Salzburg (Austria), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 July 2024, Friday

Referee: Lang J. (Aut)


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.84	1.46
	2.69	1.47	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.74	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.25)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
34.7%

Thiago Monteiro
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Moro Canas's form might have worsened.

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Monteiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Alejandro Moro Canas - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Moro Canas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Monteiro will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Moro Canas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Monteiro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
08.07.24	Clement Tabur - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Jacob Fearnley - Alejandro Moro Canas	3:0 ✺
27.06.24	Damir Dzumhur - Alejandro Moro Canas	Dzumhur D. retired ✺
26.06.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWL?W
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Blaz Rola - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Thiago Monteiro - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

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