Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Jan Choinski		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.76
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
47.5%

Alejandro Moro Canas
52.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 178. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 153.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Choinski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Jan Choinski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Jan Choinski - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Jan Choinski - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
09.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2
07.06.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jan Choinski	0:2

Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide