Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Alejandro Tabilo		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4	1.25
	4.2	1.22	Watch
	4.35	1.25
	4.38	1.26
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.04	1.25	Watch
	4.25	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (2.94)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
22.9%

Alexander Zverev
77.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Zverev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Zverev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zverev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tabilo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roma
15.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WWWWW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Roma
15.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Alexander Zverev - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

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