Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Tourte A. (Fra)


	Alejandro Tabilo		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.7	1.48	Watch
	2.96	1.45
	2.97	1.45
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.45	Watch
	3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.35)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
33.5%

Karen Khachanov
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alejandro Tabilo - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Khachanov will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Khachanov is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Khachanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Khachanov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Khachanov to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tabilo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Facundo Bagnis	Tabilo A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWW?
- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Jannik Sinner - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Flavio Cobolli - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
07.06.22	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0

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