Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	21:55	HBO Max


	Yannick Hanfmann		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.72
	2.09	1.71
	2.16	1.78
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.09	1.74
	2.19	1.79	Watch
	2.09	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.91)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
45.1%

Alejandro Tabilo
54.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 55. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 29.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hanfmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hanfmann won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Flavio Cobolli - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0
ATP Roma
10.05.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2

Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo