Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.33	1.38
	3.57	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.26	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
28.6%

Alexander Zverev
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	0%	52.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Zverev will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zverev (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 19. Zverev is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 2.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Zverev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zverev is considered a favorite.

We predict that Zverev will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Ugo Humbert - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWLW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Quentin Halys - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Martin Damm - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	3:0
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Zverev	2:0

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