Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
54.8%

Alexis Galarneau
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Galarneau will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 109. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 198.

Kovacevic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovacevic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Gauthier Onclin	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
17.01.25	Alexander Ritschard - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
16.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Ignacio Buse - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.24	Christopher Eubanks - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.01.22	Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide