Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	05:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	04:00	Premier Sport 2
Finland	05:00	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	04:00	TV4 Play
United Kingdom	03:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.36
	3.2	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.17	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.26)	1.35 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
30.1%

Brandon Nakashima
69.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Nakashima (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 58. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33.

In this match, Nakashima is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Nakashima will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.55%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Nick Kyrgios - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Aleksandar Kovacevic	Canceled ✺
03.11.25	Clement Tabur - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWW?L
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Quentin Halys - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Athens
05.11.25	Brandon Nakashima - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Alexandre Muller - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLL

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Nakashima