Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Alexandre Muller		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.8	1.27
	3.05	1.35	Watch
	3.79	1.29	Watch
	3.75	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.05)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
26.2%

Brandon Nakashima
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexandre Muller - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Nakashima will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nakashima (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 44. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 32.

Recent form of Muller has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nakashima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nakashima is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Brandon Nakashima - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.32%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Basel
20.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	David Goffin - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Alexandre Muller - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Brandon Nakashima - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Brandon Nakashima - Alexandre Muller	2:1
30.10.21	Alexandre Muller - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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