Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.55	1.57
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.58	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.93)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
39.3%

Jordan Thompson
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aleksandar Kovacevic's performance.

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jordan Thompson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aleksandar Kovacevic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jordan Thompson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jordan Thompson is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kovacevic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jordan Thompson will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Jordan Thompson to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovacevic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Acapulco
25.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
22.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
21.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
19.02.24	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Los Cabos
24.02.24	Jordan Thompson - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
21.02.24	Emilio Nava - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
17.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jordan Thompson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide