Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday


	Alexander Zverev		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.16	5.2	Watch
	1.16	5.28	Watch
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	4.95	Watch
	1.16	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.21)	5.16 ↑ (4.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
81.6%

Jordan Thompson
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Jordan Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jordan Thompson will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 37.

Recent matches Zverev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jordan Thompson could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Zverev is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zverev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 78.73%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLWL
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Jordan Thompson - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	0:3 ✺
12.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Dominik Koepfer	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Los Cabos
23.02.24	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	1:2
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Jordan Thompson - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Acapulco
25.02.20	Jordan Thompson - Alexander Zverev	Canceled
ATP Washington
02.08.17	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	2:1

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