Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Aleksandar Kovacevic		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.39	Watch
	3.05	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.18)	1.38 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic
31.3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	0%	87%

Aleksandar Kovacevic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Martin Etcheverry will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 79. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 44.

Kovacevic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Etcheverry is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kovacevic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Etcheverry is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 57.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Daniel Altmaier - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Gabriel Diallo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Nicolas Mejia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 L?LWL

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