Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Jakub Mensik		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.49	2.73
	1.51	2.53	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.61	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
63.9%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Jakub Mensik - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Etcheverry will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 57. Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 45.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mensik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mensik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Nicolas Mejia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Christian Garin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Hugo Gaston - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2

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