Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Mariano Navone		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.84
	1.49	2.84
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.46	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	2.76 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
65.4%

Aleksandar Vukic
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Mariano Navone - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vukic is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navone will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Mariano Navone - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Mariano Navone - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Mariano Navone - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WW?LW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Marrakech
04.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW

Mariano Navone - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide