Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2 (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Aleksandre Bakshi		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.26
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.3
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.66)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aleksandre Bakshi
27%

Shintaro Mochizuki
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aleksandre Bakshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandre Bakshi's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandre Bakshi than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandre Bakshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aleksandre Bakshi - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bakshi is ranked ATP: 489. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 148.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bakshi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mochizuki is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aleksandre Bakshi
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Pengyu Lu	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Kasidit Samrej - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Sheng Tang	2:1 ✺
07.10.24	Aleksandre Bakshi - Jose-Rubin Statham	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLW?
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Hanyi Liu	Canceled ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.24	Linang Xiao - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
25.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
19.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?LLLW

Aleksandre Bakshi - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide