Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Li Tu

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.22	1.69
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.09)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
43.9%

Li Tu
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 248. Tu is ranked ATP: 172.

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Tu to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mochizuki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Shintaro Mochizuki	Mochizuki S. walkover ✺
26.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Ji Sung Nam - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 ?WLWL
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Elias Ymer - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Yua Taka - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Li Tu - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Constant Lestienne - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
22.11.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	1:2
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	2:1

Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide