Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.56
	1.52	2.62	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
62.5%

Shintaro Mochizuki
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Yannick Hanfmann - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 95. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 147.

Recent matches Hanfmann is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hanfmann will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.08.24	Jerome Kym - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Jiri Vesely - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
17.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Charles Chen	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Radu Albot - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
21.08.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Martin Damm - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

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