Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Alba Rey Garcia		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
	2.33	1.53
	2.44	1.51
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.36)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alba Rey Garcia
37.7%

Federica Urgesi
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba Rey Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alba Rey Garcia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Alba Rey Garcia - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rey Garcia is ranked WTA: 560. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 386.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rey Garcia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Rey Garcia
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Alba Rey Garcia	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Fanny Norin - Alba Rey Garcia	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Shiyu Ye	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Maria Garcia Cid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Martina Colmegna - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Federica Urgesi - Cristina Diaz Adrover	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ipek Oz - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

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