Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Seville 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alba Rey Garcia		Federica Urgesi

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Alba Rey Garcia
37.7%

Federica Urgesi
62.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba Rey Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alba Rey Garcia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Rey Garcia is ranked WTA: 560. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 386.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rey Garcia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Rey Garcia
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Alba Rey Garcia	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Fanny Norin - Alba Rey Garcia	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Shiyu Ye	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Maria Garcia Cid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Martina Colmegna - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Federica Urgesi - Cristina Diaz Adrover	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ipek Oz - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Isis Louise Van den Broek	✺
28.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Ann Akasha Ceuca	✺

Alba Rey Garcia - Federica Urgesi