Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Seville, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Anastasia Abbagnato		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
	1.8	1.9
	1.74	2.04
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	1.97 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasia Abbagnato
52.5%

Federica Urgesi
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasia Abbagnato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasia Abbagnato's form might have worsened.

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federica Urgesi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Abbagnato than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasia Abbagnato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anastasia Abbagnato - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Abbagnato is ranked WTA: 400. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 382.

In recent matches, Abbagnato has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Urgesi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Abbagnato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Abbagnato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasia Abbagnato
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Maria Martinez Vaquero	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Lorena Solar Donoso	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Tamara Zidansek - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Aurora Zantedeschi	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Anastasia Abbagnato - Nicole Fossa Huergo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Maria Toma - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Teodora Kostovic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Martina Colmegna - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

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