Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday


	Alessandro Giannessi		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.7	2.11
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)	2.08 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandro Giannessi
55.2%

Daniel Michalski
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandro Giannessi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandro Giannessi's form might have worsened.

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Michalski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandro Giannessi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandro Giannessi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alessandro Giannessi - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giannessi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Michalski will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Giannessi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michalski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandro Giannessi
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Benoit Paire - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW
- Daniel Michalski
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Jaime Faria - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.05.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
04.05.23	Mikalai Haliak - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Alessandro Cortegiani - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

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