Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.92	1.9
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.86	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
49.4%

Alex Barrena
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bueno will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barrena will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 218. Barrena is ranked ATP: 177.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Barrena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bueno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Vilius Gaubas - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	Bueno G. retired ✺
24.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?LWL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mariano Navone - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2

Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide