Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	Alex Barrena		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	3.8	1.22
	3.85	1.22	Watch
	3.82	1.22	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.74	1.23	Watch
	5.5	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.31)	1.21 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
22.7%

Arthur Gea
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Barrena's form might have worsened.

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Gea will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Barrena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 191. Gea is ranked ATP: 244.

In this match, Gea is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Alex Barrena - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Alex Barrena - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mariano Navone - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Arthur Gea - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Arthur Gea - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Arthur Gea - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Arthur Gea - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

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