Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alex Barrena		Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.27	1.68
	2.47	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.45)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
39.8%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alex Barrena - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Reis Da Silva (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reis Da Silva (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 568. Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 384.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Reis Da Silva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Reis Da Silva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Reis Da Silva will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Franco Roncadelli - Alex Barrena	Canceled ✺
27.04.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Alex Barrena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 W?WWW
- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Vicente Freda - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Dmitry Popko - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired
20.06.22	Alex Barrena - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Emilio Camacho - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	✺

Alex Barrena - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva