Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	James McCabe		Alex Bolt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.95	Watch
	1.86	1.89
	1.81	2.07
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.78	2.03	Watch
	1.80	1.88	Watch
	1.82	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.19)	1.96 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James McCabe
52%

Alex Bolt
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James McCabe's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

James McCabe - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. McCabe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCabe is ranked ATP: 240. Bolt is ranked ATP: 167.

McCabe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bolt is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McCabe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bolt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, McCabe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	James McCabe - Duncan Chan	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Masamichi Imamura - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	James McCabe - Jason Jung	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	James McCabe - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWL?
- Alex Bolt
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Alex Bolt - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Bolt - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Alex Bolt - James McCabe	2:0
02.11.22	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	2:0

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