Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Alex Bolt		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	3.25	1.33
	3.00	1.36
	3.10	1.35
	3.19	1.40
	2.99	1.35	Watch
	3.10	1.35
	3.09	1.35	Watch
	3.20	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.2)	1.35 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
30.2%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Bolt's form might have worsened.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 164. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 126.

Llamas Ruiz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Llamas Ruiz is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bolt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Oliver Tarvet - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Llamas Ruiz P. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Marcos Giron - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Keegan Rice - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alex Bolt	2:1
ATP Challenger
30.12.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alex Bolt	1:2

Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide