Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Alex Bolt		Akira Santillan

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.80
	1.47	2.63	Watch
	1.38	2.96	Watch
	1.47	2.65
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.40	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
66%

Akira Santillan
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Akira Santillan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 165., and Santillan is ranked ATP: 313..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Santillan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Bolt for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Bolt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.67%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
26.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	James McCabe - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW
- Akira Santillan
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Kaigaoge Kang - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.05.19	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:0
09.11.17	Akira Santillan - Alex Bolt	2:0
01.02.17	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	1:2

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