Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Bolt		Semen Pankin

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.40
	1.27	3.35	Watch
	1.27	3.37	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	3.25 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
71.3%

Semen Pankin
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.

Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Semen Pankin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Semen Pankin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Bolt - Semen Pankin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 165., and Pankin is ranked ATP: 419..

In recent outings, Bolt has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pankin is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bolt may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Bolt for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.86%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Semen Pankin
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Semen Pankin - Sheng Tang	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Semen Pankin - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Elias Ymer - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Semen Pankin - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Alex Bolt - Semen Pankin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide