Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ILKLEY (UNITED KINGDOM) - QUALIFICATION, GRASS - FINAL

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Alex Bolt		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.6	2.29
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.29	Watch
	1.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.15)	2.15 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
56.8%

Jesper De Jong
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex Bolt's performance.

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jesper De Jong might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex Bolt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jesper De Jong could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Alex Bolt - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Bolt will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bolt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Bernard Tomic - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Duarte Vale - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
17.06.23	Hyeon Chung - Jesper De Jong	Chung H. retired ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.23	David Goffin - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Dayne Kelly - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
24.05.23	Jesper De Jong - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?L?LW

Alex Bolt - Jesper De Jong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide