Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Alex Bolt		Nishesh Basavareddy

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.95	1.36
	2.8	1.38
	3.05	1.39
	3.06	1.4	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.3)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
32.3%

Nishesh Basavareddy
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Bolt's form might have worsened.

Nishesh Basavareddy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nishesh Basavareddy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Bolt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nishesh Basavareddy than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nishesh Basavareddy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alex Bolt - Nishesh Basavareddy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Basavareddy will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basavareddy: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 175. Basavareddy is ranked ATP: 268.

Bolt is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basavareddy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basavareddy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basavareddy is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Alex Bolt - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
27.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
ATP Newport
19.07.24	Alex Bolt - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL
- Nishesh Basavareddy
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
12.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	1:2 ✺
09.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Paul Jubb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLW

Alex Bolt - Nishesh Basavareddy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide