Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Alex Bolt		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.91
	1.74	2.05
	1.85	1.99
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
52.8%

Oliver Crawford
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Oliver Crawford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Alex Bolt - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Crawford will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawford: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolt (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crawford (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 224. Crawford is ranked ATP: 232.

Bolt is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crawford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crawford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Alex Bolt - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
05.08.25	Alex Bolt - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Giles Hussey - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Alex Bolt - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
25.07.25	Aryan Shah - Oliver Crawford	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Robin Bertrand - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Matias Soto - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Hugo Grenier - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Alex Bolt - Oliver Crawford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide