Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Oliver Crawford		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.56
	2.28	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.35	1.61	Watch
	2.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.87)	1.59 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Crawford
41%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliver Crawford's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawford is ranked ATP: 198. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 163.

Merida Aguilar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Crawford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Crawford
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Igor Marcondes	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Oliver Crawford - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
29.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Jan Choinski - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2
ITF Tournaments
04.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Oliver Crawford	2:1

Oliver Crawford - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide