Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Olympic Games (World), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Max


	Alex De Minaur		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	2.1	1.73
	2.05	1.75
	1.81	2.01
	1.81	2.09
	1.87	1.97
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.03
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.55)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
50.7%

Jan-Lennard Struff
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex De Minaur's form might have worsened.

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jan-Lennard Struff's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan-Lennard Struff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Alex De Minaur - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Struff will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 3.

De Minaur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Struff is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 7 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Wimbledon
10.07.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover ✺
08.07.24	Arthur Fils - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Lucas Pouille - Alex De Minaur	De Minaur A. walkover ✺
04.07.24	Jaume Munar - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
02.07.24	James Duckworth - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?W?WW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Gstaad
20.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:1
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
22.08.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Basel
25.10.19	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.18	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex De Minaur	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.18	Alex De Minaur - Jan-Lennard Struff	Canceled

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